Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Season 13, year of the pitcher Review #1

W/ a fresh batch of draft prospects released to Plumpyville today, its time to take a quick look book at last season's stellar class and see how they're coming along one year later. Most of this kids are still several seasons away from the show, but most are begining to show why they were so thought of so highly heading into last season's draft.

Glen_Brett last season's #1 pick was thought to be MLB ready upon signing his contract, however Tampa Bay has decided to take things just a little slower than, making sure Glen received proper polishing before hitting the show. Glen started 16 games last season in AA before moving up to AAA this season. He's struggled a bit with his consitancy verse the tougher AAA hitters, however its appearances like his 8 inning, 12 strikeout performance over the AAA alcholics that keeps scouts drooling.

For his career: 14-6, 174 innings, 60Ks, 15 BBs, 1.19 WHIP, 3.67 ERA

Walter_Pote The Montreal franchise was shamed into a change in ownership after the rumors of Pote's scandelous pictures of previous owner Bulls7210 began to surface. It was those very pictures that lead to the overdraft of Pote with the 2nd pick. However, all was to be forgiven if Pote could prove to be anything more than AAAA fodder. There were also rumors of Walter's continued neck stiffness coming out of spring training, bringing back the amatuer draft scout's question marks on Pote's long term healthyness. Those fears reared their ugly head early this season as Pote's season 2 has been ravished by a herniated disk in his neck and will keep on the sidelines until next spring training. Walter split time b/w rookie ball and Low A last year, with 7 games in High A this season before the injury.

Thru limited time: 2-5, 3 SVs, 80 Innings, 68 Ks, 27 BBs, 1.72 WHIP, 4.50 ERA

Craig_Winston After holding out for a record $11.4 Mil signing bonus, Winston finally got around to showing his wares for the Shockers. Coming out of high school, many scouts insisted that Winston had the biggest upside in the draft, however his contract demands scared off many potential bidders. Atlanta took a gamble and was able to bring Winston into the fold. Winston spent a brief stint in Rookie ball, before ending last year in low A. He returned to Low A this season, with an expected mid-season call up to High A in the near future. So far, this bonus baby has lived up the billing, and looks to head the Atltanta rotation in a few more seasons.

23 Starts, 13-2, 118 Innings, 110 Ks, 34 BBs, 1.06 WHIP, 2.59 ERA

Lyle_Hines Another top flight HS phenom, Arizona selected Hines with the 5th pick overall. Durability, and conistancy are the keys to Hines success, however he lacks the top end durability one would like to see out of an ace, as well as a strong 3rd pitch. Lyle made a stellar debut in rookie ball last season, and though he's been touched up a bit by the more advanced Low A hitters this season, his slash lines all look solid.

23 starts, 11-3, 115 innings, 113 Ks/28 BBs, 1.34 WHIP, 3.37 ERA

Boomer_Conoroy The top HS lefty in last season's class, Boomer is on the fast track, having skipped over High A ball and started in AA in just his age 19 season. Boomer has everything you'd like in a pitching prospect, great stamina, solid control, a dominate fastball with solid complimentary pitches, and limited questions of health. After getting beat up in a brief stint in rookie ball last year, Conroy has improved his stat line at every level. At this rate, he may make an appearance in the show as early as next season.

23 games, 22 starts, 6-9, 108.2 innings, 101Ks/47 BBs, 1.56 WHIP, 4.22 ERA


Chad_Pride The 2nd Kansas pitcher taken in this draft, Pride is a flame throwing righty with superior control, 2 great pitches an average 3rd pitch and the occasional cutter that needs development. His only drawback is his limited stamina; Chad tends to tire out before getting out of the 6th. However what he doesn't provide in innings, he more than makes up for in quality. Chad was recently promoted to High A where thru 2 starts, he's thrown 9 shutout innings, while giving up just 7 hits.

22 Starts, 3-3, 93 innings, 96 Ks/20 BBs, 1.02 WHIP, 1.74 ERA

Vic_Pena Vic was a highly sought after righty from the Pittsburgh area who began to develop a social anxiety disorder and kept him away from the mound for the first part of the season. However, Vic has seemingly overcome his demons, and is back to terrorizing oppossing hitters on the Low A mound. Vic had the best combination of pitches, control, and stamina of last season's batch of HS pitchers, however his lower durability and struggle vs lefties helped him slid down the draft board a bit. None the less, with oppimum time b/w starts, Vic should frontline Portland's rotation in short order.

19 Starts, 10-2, 104.1 innings, 101 Ks/30 BBs, 1.25 WHIP, 2.76 ERA

Boots_Gonzales Boots is another HS right hander, this time out of California. Boots should eat up a ton of innings, while sliding nicely into the middle of Cleveland's future rotation in a few years. What Boots lacks in dominate skills, he makes up for with no glaring weaknesses. Just one of those guys that every team wished they had as their #2 or #3. After an up & down start in Low A last year, Gonzales has followed up his stellar spring with glowing reviews in AA ball this season.

22 Starts, 5-4, 101.0 innings, 97 Ks/35 BBs, 1.35 WHIP, 4.46 ERA

Harold_Aspromarte The top closer in last year's draft, and only reliever amongst the top 10 draft pitchers, Harold is absolutely filthy when on the mound. Questions still linger about his long term health, given his violent delivery, but to date, Harold has shown no wear while mowing down oppossing batters.

38 games, 2-3, 21/28 saves, 53 Ks/7 BBs, 0.93 WHIP, 2.40 ERA

Rene_Richardson The last of the super 10 pitchers, Rene is another HS righty w/ superior control and solid stuff. While many scouts project Rene to be a starter in the majors, Rene has begun his career almost exclusively out of the pen.

38 Games, 8-3, 6/7 saves, 71 Ks/18 BBS, 1.41 WHIP, 4.38 ERA

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

National League Rumors

Jacksonville

News out of Jacksonville that Antonio Whang and Jaime Rogers are going to be let go is not surprising.

Coming off a 3 year deal, the 32 year old Whang will be an intriguing option for those looking for corner outfield help. Whang, a lifetime .289 hitter with 329 home runs, could provide a spark for some offense in the league.

After peaking with a 40 homerun campaign in season 11, Rogers decline was already evident until he suffered a ligament strain in his foot toward the end of the season. He should still garner interest from some American League team as a DH, as his potential to return to form is pretty good.

In a move forced by the play of Zues Thurman, Rolando Guerrero is now being actively shopped during the offseason. Guerrero’s appeal is simple as he is a power bat who can more than field his position. Furthermore, Guerrero is entering the last two years of his deal as he is due a shade under 16.5 million over the next two years (8.7 this season, 7.7 in the final year).


Montgomery

As Montgomery management has indicated in this and other venues, they are willing to trade one of the following minor leaguers (Chris Sinclair, Tike Burks, and Richie Washington) for ML help at SS and/or CF. Sinclair was once one of the bright spots from Philly, Burks was the crown jewel of the Portland system at one time, and Washington turned some heads in Montgomery’s rookie ball team last season.

Power hitter Francisco Alvarez will be a free agent and will likely garner some interest. The 33 year old last signed a deal that was in the range of 6 million annually. Alvarez is beginning to show signs of decline but is a very good hitter. He is a type B free agent.


Vancouver

Jalal Priest, second all time in saves, is going to test the FA market. Often inquired about Cody Young may become available if the right offer is made, as the Mounties try to make room for some of their younger arms in their rotation and bullpen.


Tacoma

The Deivis, Deivi Flores and Deivi Sanchez, are potentially available...potentially not (depends on the price and who within the Tacoma front office you talk to). Tacoma is also willing to move one of the following: Red Miller (327k obligation, not the $3mil that appears), Victor Donovan , or Ivan Rivas. Desi Nunez informed the team that he hates Tacoma's weather, but Tacoma might explore trade and sign possibilities. Word is they expect type B level compensation for him.

Among pitchers, solid reliever Roberto Parra (sub 3.00 ERA 3 years in a row) is available.

For everyone, looking for prospects of all types. Somewhat looking for a legit CF prospect 1st and SP 2nd, but open to all.


Trenton

Dennis Barkley informed the team he was going to test the market. The 32 year old second baseman hit .294, hit 22 home runs, stole 27 bases and scored 96 runs. Trenton wants to bring Barkley back and move him to the outfield, but it is unknown how much they will spend to keep him. Trenton is known to be keen on letting Bruce Mercedes be the everyday second baseman, but he has tough shoes to fill taking over for Barkley.

Entering the final year of a monster contract, Carlos Rivera is on the block. Trenton is willing to pay a significant portion of the contract, but they are rumored to be looking for starting pitching prospects in return. If Rivera moves at all, it will likely be mid-way through the season and for a lot less than the ideal package.

Rafael Baerga, fed up with being at AA “too long,” has forced the franchise’s hand. He demanded to be traded, and Trenton has sent out signals they might honor his request. They are thought to be looking for a pitching prospect commensurate with Baerga’s skill level.

With a few young bullpen arms on the horizon, word is out of Trenton that a year after demoting Lonny Aguilar to the set up role, he will indeed enter free agency without an offer from the Titans. Aguilar has 283 lifetime saves, and was locked into a 5 year 25 million dollar deal last time he was a free agent. He should expect to get at least the same sort of deal annually, the question will be over how many years.

Saturday, November 14, 2009

American League Rumors

Atlanta Shockers

There are serious doubts around the league that any deal will get done involving Zapata, Koloff, or Morales. Zapata only registered 11 home runs coupled with a .258 average (Zapata’s career average is .286), but is moving into the last year of a contract which will see Zapata earn 5.8 million. If Atlanta wants to move him, it remains to be seen whether Atlanta will continue to cut his checks even if he plays elsewhere. Morales may be even harder to move. Although cheap, Morales registered 16 homers last year on the heels of a season in which he only registered 18. He did improve his average, but the RBI count, among other categories is way down. Koloff’s move to Atlanta from Saint Louis didn’t go so well. Koloff’s home runs, rbi, average, and ops all plunged at a time where he’ll be entering his second time around in arbitration.

Jose Lee is a prime candidate for a bounce back year. With little protection in the Atlanta lineup, he struggled to get 16 home runs last year. In some scouting circles, there is high interest for a young first baseman like Lee…for the right price.

Andres James could garner a lot of attention. James has largely played second in Atlanta, but opposing General Managers can’t help but wonder if there is untapped potential in Center Field from the 25 year old. James is also appealing because he signed to a contract which sees the yearly commitment decrease over the length of the contract. Furthermore, when the current contract expires, James will be 27 years old. How many teams are able to lock up a young centerfield talent for almost the entire length of his prime years?

Looking for a guy who has averaged 31 starts per year? James Rollin might be your guy. The 32 year old righty is 91-75 and due 5.4 million this season and next. If he moves, look for him to be a great back end of the rotation starter on a contender.Kris Post is available. He will likely remain available.


Boston Stranglers

Coach Albert DeSalvo was very disappointed at the way the season ended. "We were leading the battle for the Wildcard spot and completely fell apart. We went 2-8 in our last 10 games, we lost our last 6 games. I questioned everyone on this team's manhood, they played worse than a bunch of Nancy-Boys." 81-81 is not how we wanted to finish.

General Manager Bill Buckner had this to say. "Overall we will be keeping a majority of the Nancy-Boys and try to make men out of them. Hall of Famer Shayne Judd is a free agent and will not be back with the team next season. We need pitching and better defense. Oswaldo Escobar & Ricardo Gonzalez were good pickups for us.We also traded for Felipe Crespo late in the season, he did not perform as we anticipated, but we are sure he will pitch much better next season. Pitching Coach Bill Lee stated, "We found out Crispy was going to Dunkin Donuts for breakfast & lunch, apparently there are no donuts in Cleveland, he just went nuts. He has dropped 15 lbs. since we changed his diet, his pitches have more "pop" and his change up is devastating.

"We are a playoff caliber team and hope to BE a playoff team next season. The AL East is the toughest division in the AL, making the playoffs will not be easy, it is our top priority, stated GM Buckner. "Just about everyone on this team can and will be traded if it improves our club."
Omaha SettlersThe Settlers, resigned to the fact that their second base by committee wasn’t going to work well will let Darrell Joseph, Brandon Glass, Orel Rivers, and Jim Ventura go. Joseph leads the class departing from Omaha as the lefty hit .285 with 19 home runs going into a contract year.Omaha is looking to be an active player in the trade market this offseason looking for a starting catcher and middle relief help. The rumors that RF Donn Neal of 2B/OF prospect Juan Sosa are available appear to be true.


Norfolk Needlefish

The Needlefish were waffling on whether to sign Ralph Lewis to a long-term extension, but ultimately decided on allowing Lewis to file for free agency without much of an offer.

Surprisingly, Norfolk may be dangling some top prospects in an effort to make a preseason deal to bring in a top catcher. After the post season collapse of the bullpen, relief may be a priority for the Needlefish.


Saint Louis Slumpbusters

There wasn’t much time to talk with new GM davecallahan, in between phone calls we got confirmation that they are in win now mode. Give him a call…er…trade chat if you think you got a deal for him.

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Awarding the awards...

AL MVP:

Favorite: Rolando_DeJesus The man of Jesus was tabbed by the computer as the frontrunner for AL MVP and really what's not to like 100 runs, 128 rbi, 50 homers for the playoff bound Kahunas.

My Pick: Marino_Astacio not only approached DeJesus' homer and rbi total by hammering out 46 homers and driving in 124 rbis himself, but Marino crossed home plate 20 more times in 15 less games while racking up 33 thefts on the basepaths. Astacio was the driving force behind Norfolk's 104 wins and 2nd seed in the playoffs.

NL MVP:

Favorite: Jeff_Hackman posted an eye popping 1.156 OPS while leading Chicago to their 4th straight East Division title. Jeff's steady approach lead to a .355 batting average w/ 45 homers and 124 rbi.

My Pick: Todd_Ford Seriously, what's not to love about 71 homers and 171 rbi? Perhaps the computer has just grown tired of putting the 5 time MVP's name at the top of the list. Will the voters give the man his due?

AL Cy Young:

Favorite: Einer_Pena If the 21 wins and 2.35 ERA are not enough to convince you, perhaps the sub 1.00 WHIP will tell you why Pena is set to win this award for the 4th straight season

My Pick: There really isn't a close 2nd to the season Pena put up for the AL's #1 seed. Just 3 more seasons before Pena strickes a max deal in free agency. Here's to counting your pennies until then.

NL Cy Young:

Favorite: Sandy_Menskie Sandy put up his best season since his season 10 Cy Young season posting 18 wins with a sub 3.00 ERA

My Pick: There were several canidates just a shade behind Sandy, but none that quite dominated on the mound to the same effect. Sandy is my pick.

Friday, September 25, 2009

AL predictions revisited

Here is the predictions (pro-rated for 90 games) vs. reality for the AL teams I made predictions for in August. The upside: I had the right division leader in each division. while

Biggest surprise? Honolulu--Honolulu is a full ten games better than I predicted, is 20 games over 500, and currently has a sizable lead in the wild card race, while giving Oakland a reason to watch their rearview mirror.

Biggest disappointment? Chicago--The fatties made the playoffs last season, but are 4 games under 500 as we approach the all star break and are currently last in their division.

Biggest variance? Minnesota--The twin city squad has not been the team I thought they'd be (though they tend to turn it on the 2nd half, and are still up four games in their division). They are a full 13 games under where I thought they'd be through 90 games.

Here are the standings, with predictions followed by actual records:

Minnesota 62-38 49-41

NY 40-50 45-45

Portland 37-53 35-55

Montreal 34-56 33-57

Norfolk 61-29 55-35

Chicago 50-40 43-47

DC 47-43 47-43

Boston 45-45 48-42

Monterrey 50-40 49-41

Texas 41-49 38-52

San Juan 40-50 41-49

Atlanta 32-48 36-54

Oakland 56-34 59-31

Honolulu 45-45 55-35

Omaha 43-47 41-49

Arizona 35-55 41-49

Season 13, year of the pitcher

If 1983 is the year of greatest NFL quarteback draft class, season 13 might just go down as the year of the greatest influx of pitching talent brought in thru the amatuer draft. In a world where a pitcher has been drafted 1st or 2nd overall in every season except 1, and where a pitcher has been drafted #1 overall over half the time, never has such an influx of pitching talent embarked on their Plumpyville!!!!!111 career as we've witnessed in the season 13 amatuer draft.

10 of the first 11 selections in the most recent draft were pitching prospects, not to mention a few more solid talents drafted just a shade later. In fact, with so much premium pitching talent drafted early on, one has to question the mental state of urbanwarrior, passing up all this talent with the #4 pick to take the only non pitcher at the top of the draft. Sure Zeke_Evans is a fine prospect in his own right, perhaps a regular all-star 2nd baseman, if not hall of famer, but will the esteemed Mr Urban Warrior be kicking himself in 3 seasons when he's looking to add 1 more piece to his starting rotation? Only time will tell.

So without further ado, we'll use this space to evaluate, track, adulate, and mock each of the first 10 pitchers over their careers in plumpville. Should any have their arms fall off while attempting a tribal warrior dance, thier owner will be suredly mocked, while if any should sign a Todd Ford, well below market value extension before testing the free agent waters contract, their owners will be strung from the festivus pole by their skivies and forced to beg for mercy.

With the #1 overall selection, Tampa Bay picked Glen_Brett a dominating righty on the fast track to the majors. Brett earned top draft pick status by displaying pinpoint control of his mid 90's sinker and 4 seam fastball, plus a major league level slider and curve, with the potential to turn them into + pitches on the major league level. Glen has started his career in AA with an initial pitching skill set of 82-71-62-77-75-68-72-63-48-24-54

Verdict: time to purchase that investment property on clearwater beach, with his combination of makeup and patience, Brett could be headlining the Tampa rotation into his late 30s or even early 40s.

Using the internet to gain access of Montreal's owner in comprimsing positions, Texas high school phenom Walter_Pote was able to strong arm his way from the bottom of the 1st round up into the #2 slot. Montreal owner bulls7210 claims this selection was based primarly on signability, rumors have already circulated about that night in South Padre Island. Pote projects as the classic "crafy lefthander" for while he has below average stuff, he has a vast arsenal of above average pitches to keep opponents off balance. While Pote's ceiling isn't quite as high as the other top pitchers, his combination of near perfect makeup and patience means he'll settle into Montreal rotation as a solid #3 or #4 pitcher and remain there for a long time. In a perfect world, this Jamie Moyer clone will continue to throw league average innings well into his 40's. While he's only 18, Pote high makeup have caught the eye of the daughter of the head basketball coach with an over-inflated ego at one particular haughty-taughty university in the mid west.

Verdict: Pote takes his initial skill set of 56-66-53-45-34-36-70-65-54-56-38 to rookie ball where he's still working out the kinks. While Montreal missed out on some of the top end talent, should Pote avoid arm injuries he'll be a solid fixture in the Montreal rotation for a good 15 seasons.

With the #3 pick, the Bad Logos selected Scott Boras client Craig_Winston arguable the top high school arm in the draft, concerns of his prima donna attitude were well founded when reports of his record $11+ millon signing bonus first surfaced. While never a threat to break a window with his fastball, Winston uses an overwhelming combination of sinkers, sliders and curves with near perfect control and great health. He'll never be a threat to lead the league in strikeouts, but with a solid defense behind him should project to something greater than Bronson Arroyo, dipsy-dooling his way thru the lineup, keeping opponents off balance from both sides of the plate while hopefully never missing a scheduled start due to injury.

Verdict: While the price tag is high, the projections certainly look to be worth the price tag. Winston will need about 4 seasons of grooming in the minors, but should be ready to dominate plumpyville in his early 20s. His starting skill set is: 57-52-53-55-26-78-79-67-43-39-0

At #5, Arizona selected Lyle_Hines another great pitching prospect with outstanding makeup and patience potentiall making him a fixuture on the Chase Field bump for 15+ seasons. Hines is a true "pitcher's pitcher" when he takes the mound, going all out with termendous velocity on two ++ pitches, an above average slider, and a workable changeup. While Lyle has a perfect history of health, he leaves nothing out on the mound, often tiring by the 7th inning and turning things over to the bull pen. Lyle has started his rookie league campaign in near perfect style sporting a skill set of: 54-69-46-53-67-68-64-65-37-27-0

Verdict: A great selection for Arizona, Lyle should dominate the first 7 innings each time out and could be a fixture in their rotation from age 22 thru his late 30s.

At #6, Boomer_Conroy was the 5th pitcher was selected by Boston skipper bobsquad. This highschool superstar out of Jersey is the son of former Maryland ace Mr Conroy, and was named after his father's one time college roommate. Another crafty lefty, Boomer uses pinpoint control with an array of 4 average to plus pitches to burn thru the competition. He has great sink on his fastball, and has the ability to take his team deep into games. Boomer's initial skill set at the time of draft was: 71-54-44-45-29-58-70-62-36-28-0

Verdict: While Boomer should be a solid contributer in the majors for a long time, bobsquad's lower HS and college scouting buget likely caused him to miss out on several higher end arms draft a few slots behind Boomer. Boomer should settle into a solid #2/#3 that can save the bullpen some innings by regularly going deep into games.

With the 7th selection, Texas takes the pride of Pittsburgh (Kansas that is) Chad_Pride While Pride lacks the ideal stamina of a true #1, his stuff screams rotation ace. Pride commands both sides of the plate with a screaming sinker, often topping out in triple digits, a plus slider and a devestating changeup. Chad also sports the occasional cut fastball, though rumors are the Texas coaching staff is trying to get Chad to ditch the 4th pitch and concentrate on his 3 main weapons. Chad initial pitching set is: 48-53-46-53-74-66-63-56-38-11-0

Verdict: Chad may have the most dominating stuff in the draft, however his lower stamina and low level of patience means he'll be hitting the free agent market well before his career is over. Texas went above slot bring Chad into the fold, but he'll no doubt be a solid centerpiece as zhawks rebuilds his new franchise

At #8, Portland adds high school sensation Vic_Pena out of Ft Washington, Pa. Pena's lower makeup and patience helped him slide to Portland at #8, but you won't find coach IRock complaining any time soon. Pena is a dominating righty, sporting a ++ spliter and slider combo along with a + curveball and below average changeup. Drafted into a club with a pitcher extreme park, Pena's sink should more than makeup for his lack of velocity. If Portland can put a solid defense behind him, he should challenge for 10 complete games a season.

Verdict: Another solid HS arm that's tough to knock. Perhaps the ideal draft pick for Portland's park, should reach the majors in 4-5 seasons and would be the #1 in most rotations.

With the 9th overall selection, pitcher #8 comes off the board to Cleveland. jjboogie drafts high school righty Boots_Gonzalez out of Cali. Boots perhaps defines the term major league average more than any other pitcher in the top 10. Aside from his great control and + changeup, Boots displays an ideal average stamina, splits, sink and stuff on his pitches. However, this is a good thing, as Boots also contains no weaknesses in his game either. With great patience and above average makeup, Boots should prove a solid #2 pitcher for Cleveland for a long time.

Verdict: With initial draft skills of 55-55-41-46-72-60-70-53-28-22, Boots likely won't be the guy you think of when facing a must win game 7, however, he's the guy you'll want on the mound in games 2 & 6 to give you a great shot at winning a postseason series. A great pick at #9, would have gone higher in most drafts.

At 10, Harold_Aspromonte was selected by New Jersey. I'm not sure I know what a Harry Aspromonte looks like, but I know this kid has the distinction of being both the first Juco and the first reliever selected in season 13. A dominating right hander with questionable health, Harry shuts down right handers w/ a mix of a devestating changeup and knee buckling slider. If Harry can spend more time on the bump than on the training table, he'll be a strong commoditiy for the Generals.

Verdict: If some consider it a sin to draft a reliever in the top 10, what would they consider a guy w/ big time health concerns? With solid stamina for a closer, and great durability, perhaps New Jersey can keep him from getting over-extended and thus keep him out of the infimary. His level of success will be largely determined by how much time he spends off the disablied list, because his skill set screams all-star closer. At the time of the draft, Harold's pitching skill set is: 26-64-55-68-80-74-78-65-0-0-0

Finally, with the 11th pick and 10th pitcher overall, Tacoma selects Rene_Richardson Similar to Boots Gonzalez, drafted ahead of him, Rene features mostly average stuff w/ great control and better stamina. However, Rene sports less than ideal durability, meaning he may need to slide into a 6 man rotation or limit his innings each start. He may struggle a bit verse lefties, but w/ super high makeup ratings, he's likely to reach most of his projections if given enough time to develop. Rene's initial skill line is: 66-58-37-45-75-63-56-52-28-37-0

Verdict: As mentioned before in the Boots review, Rene shouldn't hurt you on the mound, may even make the occasional all-star game, especially in Tacoma's pitcher friendly park, however he's not the guy you want to call upon in a must win game. Should settle into a solid middle of the rotation starter, may need to skip a start or two to ensure that he keeps fresh.

Others 1st round picks worth watching:
Jeff_Ausmus 14th overall; could have easily made the top 10 if he had just slightly better stuff
Denny_Yoshi 17 th overall; should fill in the middle of Washington's rotation in a few seasons.
Lucas_Peterson 20th pick, and Texas' 2nd pitcher this draft; Should fill in nicely behind Chad Pride, however like Pride he lacks ideal stamina, so zhawks better be on a long reliever hunt.
Esmalyin_Alveraz 27th overall, may be the best closer in the draft, but probably won't sign.
Wayne_Callaway 32 overall, dominat left handed closer, who may struggle a bit vs righties.

Since its probably a bit to early to do a true ranking of these kids until they get a minor league season or two under their belts, I'll summon my inner Smokey Robinson and provide a "Tiers of a Clown":
Polish up the bronze plaque, Cooperstown is calling:
Glen Brett
Craig Winston
Lyle Hines

Mario Soto: Gonna dominate for a period of time, but will be forgotten when hall of fame eligibility comes up:
Chad Pride
Vic Pena

No fluff, just stuff, mr reliable:
Boots Gonzalez
Rene (don't call me Russo) Richardson

Just give me a shot, to hell with the Doc:
Harold Aspertame

Not terrible, but leave something to be desired:
Walter Pote
Boomer Conroy

Please vote in the new poll, and we'll keep track, hopefully taking an annual vote thru their first several seasons in the majors as we track how these kids develop.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Plumpy Rules 1st Rd Draft Recap!!!!!111 Part 1

1. Tampa Bay Pirates - Glen Brett - SP
The best pitcher available, Glen Brett, could pitch now in on majority of ML staffs. His approach is top notch with plenty of upside and very good control. The USC senior should be able to handle a pro workload as he is well known for going deep into games and showed what he could do on 3 days rest in the Super Regionals and CWS. Right now his pitches need the most work as none of them are flashy.
Perfect World Projection: #1 starter with 230+ IP
Glass-Half Empty: Right now he is a #2-3 starter on most any team.

2. Montreal Expositions - Walter Pote - SP
Montreal upset pundits by going with a signability pick at #2 in HS SP Walter Pote. Pote's best quality aside from his willingness to sign for slot is his healthy array of pitches where 3 project to be plus-pitches. He doesn't throw hard which leads to his pitch to contact-style and has tendency to be a bit homer prone. His arm trouble for someone his age is a red flag and we can trust Montreal to closely monitor his workload early on.
Perfect World Projection: 3-4 starter
Glass-Half Empty: His arm falls off and is left to toil in the minors

3. Atlanta Bad Logos - Craig Winston - SP
The best HS pitcher available and Winston knew it, forcing Atlanta to cough up a record bonus in order to get him to sign. He doesn't have a poor pitch in his repertoire, sets up hitters well, and has great control. When does give up a hit, its usually on the ground, and rarely gives up a homer. He is quite durable for an 18 year old and with his work ethic, should move up the ATL system quickly. The Shockers paid the price for him, but it was a real coup for him to fall to them at #3.
Perfect World Projection: #1 SP and one of the top 5 pitchers in the world
Glass-Half Empty: Quality SP

4. Kansas City Warriors- Zeke Evans - CF
KC grabbed the only bat of the top 10 with NMSU senior Zeke Evans. Evans profiles as a defensive whiz who take great routes on balls and doesn't rely on his speed to make plays. His bat is the shakiest part of his game where he doesn't excel at anything he isn't terrible at anything either. He isn't picky at the plate and can make a decent amount of contact. The most exciting part of his offensive game is his speed and basestealing ability where he could break 60+ steals. There are questions about his desire to play the game which could impede his development.
Perfect World Projection: GG caliber CF with a .750+ OPS
Glass Half-Empty: His glove doesn't justify him being an everyday player

5. Arizona Armadillos- Lyle Hines - SP
Hines is an 18 year old RHP with good durability and an excellent work ethic. He has two excellent pitches, a low 90's 2-seamer and mid 80's slider combo that he spots well. His approach is advanced for his age but doesn't figure to have much upside but his pinpoint control and groundball tendencies should help in case he doesn't miss enough bats.
Perfect World Projection: #3-4 SP on a contender
Glass-Half Empty: Closer/Setup A with his two power pitches

6. Boston Stranglers- Boomer Conroy - SP
Boston grabbed soft-tossing HS SP Boomer Conroy who has shown the ability to go deep into games, use his plus-plus 4-seamer to set up his above average secondary offerings. He is control projects to be outstanding control but he isn't a flamethrower and despite his advanced approach to hitter at his age, he isn't going to get a ton better at missing bats. He wowed Boston scouts with his attitude during his injury-marred junior year and his work ethic is unquestioned.
Perfect World Projection: #2-3 SP
Glass-Half Empty- Back of the rotation innings eater

7. Texas Black Lightning - Chad Pride - SP
Another quality HS arm, Pride is a paradox in that he can pitch every 3 days but has trouble going longer than 5 innings. He is a 4 pitch pitcher who mixes his 2-seamer (that has been clocked at 97-99), slider, and change-up well and a cutter that he would be better off forgetting. Scouts feel his approach to hitters is his best upside and should make up for his lack of an ML level out pitch.
Perfect World Projection- Front of the rotation SP
Glass-Half Empty- With his stamina-durable he could be a dominant reliever

8. Portland Killer Whales- Vic Pena - SP
Pena is arguably the top HS pitcher in the draft as he has no glaring holes in his game. He misses plenty of bats despite below average velocity with his excellent array of pitches, which features his plus-plus splitter and slider and an above average curve. All this with great control and the ability to finish a game. The only knock to his game is that he might have trouble going every four days, but with a controlled pitch count he should be fine.
Perfect World Projection: Frontline 1-2 Starter
Glass-Half Empty: He is a long way from his prime, but still should be a solid rotation piece.

9. Cleveland Kosars- Boots Gonzales - SP
Gonzales projects to have top notch control with his excellent plus-plus changeup with no discernible platoon split. He is a hard thrower but his fastball is straight and flat and his sinker is just a slower version of that. He has a long way to go before he becomes an ML pitcher so there is some question about whether he can reach his upside. His medical history shows no red flags and avoiding any bumps in the road Gonzales should be a very good pitcher. Gonzales will go as far as his approach will take him.
Perfect World Projection- #2-3 starter
Glass Half-Empty- Back of the rotation innings eater

10. Trenton Titans- Harold Aspromonte - RP
The first non-starting pitcher taken is the shutdown closer from Mineral Area College. Aspromonte is nearly ML ready now, as he projects to be nearly unhittable by RH batters and capable enough against LH to be a competent closer. His change is a plus-plus pitch and his slider is no slouch either. He doesn't walk many people and keep the ball in the park. There were some questions about his elbow, but nothing that can't be managed by keeping a careful eye on his workload.
Perfect World Projection: Shutdown closer with 40+ save potential
Glass Half-Empty: A 70+ inning Setup up man

11. Tacoma ChickenDance- Rene Richardson - SP
Richardson is the first pitcher taken that actually has some flaws in his game. Don't get me wrong, Richardson has excellent velocity and great command of his stuff, but he lacks a true out pitch and his secondary stuff is pretty average. He can get knocked around by lefties and has some fatigue issues, but overall he is a solid pitcher and has the potential to be a successful starter especially if he stick around to pitch in Tacoma.
Perfect World Projection: Mid-rotation starter
Glass Half-Empty: Pitches don't develop and he is just a reliever

12. Pittsburgh Wannabes- Anthony Jordan - 1B
Due to the plethora of pitching available, perhaps the top bat in the draft fell all the way out of the top 10. Jordan has quick hands, solid plate discipline, and generates good raw power for his body type. He absolutely destroys LHP and will likely do fine against RHP. Pittsburgh has no lack of COF/1B types but Jordan was the top impact bat and likely too good to pass up. He isn't athletic enough to play the outfield but his bat is good enough to be an NL firstbasemen.
Perfect World Projection: .900+ OPS and occasional all-star
Glass Half-Empty: He is going to hit, but his glove belongs at DH

13. New York Godfathers- Curt Ramirez - 2B
Ramirez is a switch hitting HS prospect who does slightly better from the left side. He has an excellent swing, with little motion and quick hands which allows him to make a lot of contact. He needs to work on pitch recognition. While he played 2B in high school he will likely have to make a move to the outfield with LF as his likely destination where his bat isn't as impressive. He tendency of being injury-prone and a lackadaisical attitude make for a troubling combination, but the gamble could pay off.
Perfect World Projection: High OBP, 25-30 HR LF
Glass Half Empty: Injuries and women limit him to being a 4th outfielder

14. Omaha Settlers- Jeff Ausmus - SP
Ausmus measures up well with the best of the draft class but he just doesn't have the raw stuff that really fools batters. His fastball is pretty average as an out pitch and none of his other pitches look to be more than average. What he lacks in command of his pitches he makes up for with smooth mechanics with little stress in his delivery. That coupled with his excellent conditioning mean a large volume of innings he can provide. The thing going for Ausmus is that he really knows how to pitch and is quite advanced for his age.
Perfect World Projection: a quality 250+ innings starter
Glass Half-Empty- He is stuff doesn't evolve and he is just a back of the rotation innings eater

15. Hartford Submarines - Jeremi Rivera - 2B
Its a wonder how Rivera lasted this long but Hartford has to be pleased that he dropped so far. He has a great approach at the plate and good pitch recognition. His swing is compact and allows him to hit for decent power while not sacrificing his strike zone discipline. On D he gets to a lot of groundballs but has a lot of work to do on his glove work. Some think he is good enough to stick in CF where he would be ideal since he lacks the arm strength to really be a great 2B.
Perfect World Projection: All-star caliber CF/2B
Glass Half-Empty: He fails to develop a position and requires a move to LF where his bat doesn't play as well.

Friday, September 18, 2009

Team x Team Draft Review : Tampa Bay Pirates

Part 1 of 32 series reviewing the entire season 14 amatuer draft.



The Picks:

Rd1P1 - Glen Brett
Rd2P59 - Hugh Moran
Rd3P93 - Pep Nomo
Rd4P126 - Don Young
Rd5P158 - Bill Reilly
Rd6P190 - Welington Gomez
Rd7P222 - Davey Scott
Rd8P254 - Luis Mendoza
Rd9P286 -
Rd10P318 - Wil Sutton
Rd11P350 - Phillip Henderson
Rd12P382
Rd13P414 - Stevie Hill
Rd14P446
Rd15P478 - Darrell Stynes
Rd16P510 - Darwin Reid
Rd17P541 - Hector Cortez
Rd18P574
Rd19P606
Rd20P638
Rd21P670
Rd22P702 - Miguel Rios
Rd23P734
Rd24P766
Rd25P798

Best Tools:

Best Contact Hitter - Don Young
Best Power Hitter - Bill reilly
Best Plate Discipline (EYE) - Wellington Gomez
Best Vs L - Don Young
Best Vs R - Bill Reilly
Best Base Stealer - Luis Mendoza
Best Defender - Hugh Moran

Best Control - Glen Brett
Workhorse - Glen Brett
Best Vs L - Glen Brett
Vest Vs R - Glen Brett
Throws Hardest - Glen Brett
Best GBFB - Glen Brett
Best Pitch - Glen Brett
Best Pitches - Glen Brett

Does that guy have a visa?

This addition of "Does that guy have a visa?" Will be a quick overview of just a few signings.

Alving Lee
Omaha
Settlers
Age: 20B/T: R/R
Born: Las Matas Cotui, DO
Position(s): P (SP3)
View Hardball Dynasty Profile


The highly sought after 19 year old SP Alving Lee out of Las Matas Cotui, Dominican Republic signed for a whopping 23.7 milllion dollars by the Omaha Settlers. Lee projects to be a stud with excellent contorl, and splits, often dominating the right hander hitters. Lee throws very hard and is slightly a ground ball pitcher. Lee features 1 plus pitch and 3 good pitchers. Look for Lee to be in the majors in 3-4 seasons.

Verdict: Good signing


Pedro Ontiveros
Vancouver
Mounties
Age: 22B/T: R/R
Born: Chorrera, PA
Position(s): P (SuA)
View Hardball Dynasty Profile


Pedro Ontiveros a 22 year old closer signed for 15 million dollars out of Chorrea, Panama. Ontiveros came to the Vancouver Mounties veyr ML ready and instanly took over one of the top SU roles. Ontiveros projects to have excellent control, and spklits. Like Lee he often dominates righties. He throws wicked hard, and induces ground balls regularly. In his pitching arsenal is 1 plus plus pitch and 1 plus pitch. Look for Ontiveros to take over the closers role by as early as next season.

Verdict : Good Signing

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Does that guy have a Visa?

Thats right folks, its the International Free Agent Update which will now be a regular component of The Plumpy Times!!!!!!111

Top recent Intl FA:

Ramon Nakano
Pittsburgh
Wannabes
Age: 18B/T: R/R
Born: Inchon, KR
Position(s): LF/1B/DH
View Hardball Dynasty Profile



1. Ramon Nakano an 18 year old LF signed out of Inchon, Korea by thePittsburgh Wannabes for a WHOPPING 15 million dollars is the top Intl signed so far. Nakano projects to be an excellent hitter. With very good contact and power plus strengths versus both left and right handed pitchers Nakano looks to hit for a high average with 30+ HRs. Nakano also moderate speed, with slightly above average baserunning abilities you can exect anywhere form 10-25 SB a season.

Verdict : Good Signing


Carlos DeLeon
Texas
Black Lightning
Age: 19B/T: L/L
Born: Laguna Verde, DO
Position(s): RF/1B/LF/DH
View Hardball Dynasty Profile



2. Carlos DeLeon is a 19 year old RF signed out of Laguna Verde in the Dominican Republic by the Texas Black Lightning for 7 million dollars. DeLeon projectes to be one of the best contact hitters in the game with very little power. One huge knock on DeLeon is the fact that he struggles to see the ball out of either right or left handed pitchers glove resulting in sporadic results. Once the ball is out of the glove though, your going to have an extremely tough time striking him out as he projects to having one of the best eyes in the game. DeLeon also has 60+ SB potential in him as he has great speed and is a phenominal base runner.

Verdict : Good Signing (If he can overcome his weakness vs L and R handed pitchers)


Slight Chance Of ML Impact:

The Atlanta Shockers signed 19 year old pitcher Gill Tamura for 1.9 million out of Japan. Tamura projects to be an average pitcher across the board. Very similar to Tamura is the Kansas City Monarchs signing of 18 year old pitcher Pedro Rincon of the Dominican Republic who projects to be average across the board. Rincon signed for 600K.

Verdict : Okay Signings (More than likely both are roster fillers for a AAA team, neither have a real chance at the bigs)

Monday, August 24, 2009

NL South Preview

The long overdue preview of the NL SOuth if finally here!!

OFFSEASON


The Jacksonville Alcoholics have had a very quite offseason this year. Besides a few minor league signings GM frankum felt his returning squad was more than adequate to go for back to back division championships. Jacksonville did arbitrate with several players including: Zeus Thurman, Dan Clayton, George Reuschel, and Glenn Carlyle all being signed to one year deals.

The Montgomery Burns had quite a busy offseason making several huge trades and even a few FA signings. GM tjack stated that "a one season break from pure division dominance was way too long, and that it was once again time to take the team back to its rightful place atop the division." joing the Burns as FA are: 4 Time All Star Henry Ulrich, Tony Ward who had a recent power surge leading some to speculate he is juicing, and finally Herbert Widger who retuns to the Burns after a less than impressive season 12. Coming to the Burns in trades include: 7 time All Star stud catcher Lonny Griffin coming over from Trenton, Jose Martin a 3 Time All Star and once a Gold Glove winner coming over from Boston, slick fielding CF a 7 time Gold Glove winner and a threat every season Oswaldo Escobar coming back to Montgomery byway of Chicago, Elvis Ramirez who has been primarily as a reliever over his career but now in the Burns rotation coming from Philadelphia, 40 HR threat Francisco Alvarez coming in from Cleveland, relievers Clayton Philips and C.J. Riggs coming into to vastly improve the bull pen by way of Texas, and last but not least top SS prospect Tike Burks in from Portland.

The Richmond Tyrants like the Alchies were relatively quiet this offseason. The Tyrants did make a several FA signings including: Enrique Ozuna, recent first time All Star Victor Lopez, 40 HR, 100 RBI threat Blake May, William Kyung, Rick Neill, Mark Coleman, Tony Mendoza and a few mor epieces to the puzzle. GM bwb has almost rebuilt the entire pitching staff completly looking to take the next step and over take either Jax or the Burns.

The Tampa Bay Pirates made a couple of trades netting a few minor leaguers who may or may not make appearances in the ML. Those minor leaguers include Thom Karl and Julian Amaro who both could see ML time this year depending on injuries. Amaro is a future defensive stud, while Karl seems ot be nothing more than a stop gap. The Pirates also made a few FA signings this offseason including: Tommy Paulson, Todd Thomas who could make a very servicable SU man, and Rico Cairo who is a great defensive SS and will contend for the Gold Glove. Also joining the Pirates form AAA include once highly touted prospect but now a journeyman Steven Hiljus and Jorge Herrera.

PROJECTED STANDINGS/LINEUPS

1. Montgomery Burns

The Montgomery Burns feature not just one of the best lineups in all of Plumpy, but best teams. Expect the Burns to reclaim 1st place from the Alcoholics this season and a 1st round bye in the playoffs.

C - Lonny Griffin a perrenial .300+, 20 HR threat every season at catcher and is arguably the best catcher.

1B - Todd Ford is a 5 time MVP and one of if not the best players in all of Plumpy.

2B - Sid Nelson is a high batting average 2B perfect for the leadoff who will steal upwards of 50 SB per season. Just the player the Burns need to get the offense going every game.

SS - Ariel Sosa Although Sosa is not the ideal player for the SS position, his combination of contact, power, and speed make him a 5 tool player who any team would gladly have at SS.

3B - Tony Ward Is a good bat to have at the end of the lineup. Has no problem batting against lefties or righties, but with some power and lacking real contact abilities Ward could have either a great season or a bad season. Only time will tell.

LF - Francisco Alvarez Another big power bat int he Burns lineup, Alvarez looks to provide some big RBIs this season. Alvarez is a sleeper for not just the team but league MVP.

CF - Oswaldo Escobar a slick fielding CF who is not the best hitter, but his fielding will mor ethan makeup for that. Gold glove potential winner.

RF - Walter Newfield is the young buck in this lineuyp as he is several years younger than the rest of his counterparts. Newfield has tons of speed and is very good contact hitter.

Rotation - The Burns rotation features ace Sandy Mieske along with 4 other high control pitchers with good splits. Mieske,Jose Martin, and Elvis Ramirez are al Cy Young threats while the others are no slocuhes either.

Bull Pen - On the backs of Martin Ramirez, C.J. Riggs, and Clayton Philips the Burns feature a formidable pen.





2. Jacksonville Alcoholics

Like their division rivals, the Alcoholics feature one of the better lineups in Plumpy. Although I expect Jax to finish just behind Montgomery, the Alcoholics will win one of the wild cards spots for the playoffs.

C - Warren Davenport An average hitter, but Davenport knows how to call a game pretty well. He will help the pitching staff out alot this season.

1B - Jamie Rodgers an above average hitting 1B who will hit anywhere from 25 to 40+ HRs and drive in around 100 Rbis. Not bad at all.

2B - Dan Clayton One of the better hitting 2B in the entire league. This guy will go for .330+ and hit at least 30 HRs a season.

SS - Zeus Thurman He may not be the ideal SS, but what he lacks in the field he will make up with his bat. A .300 hitter with 20 HRs to boot not too bad out of your SS.

3B - Rolando Guerrero The theme of very good hitters in this lineup continues as we get to arguably the best on the team. With 30+ HR power, and batting well over .300 this is a guy you want batting in the 1st inning.

LF - Ron Puffer If you want a clean up hitter, this is your man. Puffer is a guy who can hit 50+ HR and carry your team through the playoffs. Look out for Puffer to be a MVP candidate this season.

CF - Virgil Belliard A solid fielding CF who isnt going to wow you with the stick, but will provide a good bat at the end of the lineup.

RF - Antonio Whang Continues the long line of good Alcoholic hitters. Whang has very good power, and a very good eye. He wont K much and will draw a bunch of BB.

Rotation - The Alchies throw a SP at you every game who can shut down completely every game. Led by aces George Reuschel and Howard Fasano. If your loking for a weak spot in this rotation, keep looking.

Bull Pen - Eugene Hynes is a dominant closer as any in this league. the Alchies also feature Jason Lo Duca and Gene Costello to set it up for Hynes. Dont expect many BSV out of this pen.





3. Richmond Tyrants

Were a very good team last season and benefitted from the down Montgomery year, but the ressurgence of the Burns expect the Tyrants to drop back to 3rd place. By no means expect them to stink, they may even challenege for a wild card spot this season. Ultimately they will fall short of the playoffs losing out to one of the NL west teams for a WC spot.

C - Virgil Sheldon Has some good power but not a very good pictch calling catcher. The book is still open on Sheldon/

1B - David Rojas A very good hitter with good contact and power, with a great eye to boot. you could get anywhere form 25 to 40 Hr and a .300 BA out of Rojas.

2B - Enrique Ozuna is an average hitter witha great eye and speed. He is one of the guys who could do bad, or really good.

SS - Yorvit Torrealba Is a below average fielding SS, and besides his good power Torrealba looks to bat for a low average. Needless to say there are better options at SS. Although Torreable playing SS is not set in stone.

3B - Peter Chong Is young and has great power, good contact, and can hit against lefties or righties. Chong also has great speed and could be a 20-30+ SB threat.

LF - Felipe Cedeno The most powerful hitter in the lineup, Cedeno is a big tyime HR threat, who is posied for a big time season as his ability to hit both L and R is good.

CF - Lorenzo Garza A very good fielding CF in Garza. Would be best used ina platoon role vs R. Garza can hit for power, and has a great eye.

RF - Blake May Another power hitter in the lineup who looks to provide 35+ HR and 100+ RBI. A very good FA signing by the Tyrants thi syear.

Rotation - Led by ace Philip Reed the Tyrants have a solid pitching staff. Dion Forrest and Rick Neill look to have big years if they can provied 6 innings a game.

Bull Pen - The bull pen is solid but with a two guys with low stamina it could be tough to keep the SU and Cl rested when needed all the time.






4. Tampa Bay Pirates

Tampa Bay has struggled over the years to compeet in this tough division. And their dtruggles willonly continue this season. The pitching staff leaves alot to be desired. While the lineup has few bright spots.

C - Cesar Barrios One of the best young pitch calling catchers in the game. Barrios also hits for contact very well and very good vs righties.

1B - Chuck Robertson The man can hit for power plain and simple. He crushes lefties, and is good versus righties. A good year would include 35+ HRs and a .290+ BA

2B - Carlos Rios A below average hitter, not expected to carry a high average or hit many HRs. If small ball is oyur game, then Rios is your man. he can bunt like no toher, and has very good speed and BR abilities.

SS - Kimera Pressley Although having great range, and arm, Pressely has a slightly below average glove which could hurt a bit. Pressely does not hit many Hrs and is a below average contact hitter, but is another very good bunter in the lineup.

3B - Desi Nunez A good contact hitter, and very good versus righties. Nunez does have some pop but not much, and is also a decent hitter versus lefties.

LF - Kiki Campos is by far the best power hitter in the lineup. He could easily go for 50-60 HRs. Holding Campos back his is his lack of discipline. In the end he is a liability to the lineup regardless of his immense power.

CF - Steven Hiljus A below average center fielder defensively, who has below average contact, but slightly above average power. Hiljus does have good ability to hit Vs L and R handed pitchers and a decent eye.

RF - Sean Parris Like Hiljus, Parris has good discipline versus lefties and righties with a good eye also. Parris does hit for contact and power decent so you can expect a .280+ BA and 15-25 HRs

Rotation - TB has possibly the worst rotation in the league. Staff ace Edgar Pascual is a decent pitcher but he wont be winning any cy Youngs. Tony Rijo has potential to have a good year, but his ability to get leftie sout hurts those chance alot. After the first two pitchers the Pirates take a HUGE drop in quality. William Wang, P.J. Bush, and Dee Mathews round the rotation out. None of the three can get lefties or righties out. Bush and Matthews belong in HiA, yet they are starting in the ML. Which has the fans BEGGING management to call up minor leaguers Avila, Hasagewa, Parish, Presely, and Sierra. The 5 would drastically improve this team.

Bull Pen - The bright spot int he pitchers include closer Willie Winn and SU man Rafael Ortiz who look to get alot of work this yera in relief.


THATS ALL FOLKS