Sunday, July 18, 2010

STRIKING FEAR INTO THE SOUTHPAW HEART


Who are the batters Plumpy southpaws most hate to face?

Largely the same players the righties fear -- the Todd Fords, the Ron Puffers, the Damaso Delgados. But there are some hitters who specialize in feasting on the wrong-handed, and some whose overall stats are so ordinary, so pedestrian, that without further analysis one may not even notice that they kill left-handed pitchers.

Following are the top ten guys at hitting for average against lefties:

Steve Myatt Chicago Bulls .373 / .420 / .714
Lonny Griffin Montgomery Burns .366 / .410 / .559
Ralph Lewis Norfolk Needlefish .365 / .459 / .529
Frank Bako SF Steroid Sluggers .364 / .442 / .581
Todd Ford Montgomery Burns .361 / .413 / .775
Red O'Donnell Monterrey Jacks .360 / .429 / .540
Esteban Vincente Toledo Black Bears .358 / .408 / .492
Rich King Hartford Submarines .352 / .429 / .593
Vance Sierra Norfolk Needlefish .352 / .404 / .648
Rick Harrison AZ Armadillos .347 / .386 / .442

This is a pretty good batch of contact hitters. Seven of them -- Myatt, Griffin, Lewis, Ford, O’Donnell, King, and Harrison -- bat in excess of .300. But the other three -- Bako, Vincente, and Sierra -- are actually liabilities when facing right-handed pitchers.

Based on the players’ skill ratings, one might expect Bako to perform significantly better against lefties, and he does. A right-handed batter who sports splits of 91 & 60, Bako’s .364 / .442 / .581 rate stats against lefties stand in stark contrast to what he does against right-handed pitchers: .224 / .283 / .316.

Sierra’s splits are about equal (76 & 78), but he’s still a useless hunk of useless against righties: .207 / .266 / .299.

The real outlier in the batch is Esteban Vincente. His splits are actually more favorable against righties (55 & 61), and he’s a left-handed hitter, so while he ain’t no badass slugging machine, one would expect him to hold his own against right-handed pitchers. But this is not the case as demonstrated by this sorry-assed stat line against righties: .207 / .266 / .299.

Following are the top five (with a tie for fifth) performers at slugging against lefties (as measured by at bats per home run):

Todd Ford Montgomery Burns 8.45
Grady Diggins Atlanta Shockers 8.73
Omar Alvarez Philadelphia Regulators 9.00
Damaso Delgado Portland Killer Whales 9.54
Steve Myatt Chicago Bulls 10.73
Ron Puffer Jacksonville Alcoholics 10.73

The biggest right vs. left disparities here come with Diggins (one home run every 23.25 at bats against righties) and aging slugger Puffer (one dinger per 27.63 at bats vs. righties).

When it comes to teams lefties try to avoid, in the A.L., the top batting averages against southpaws belong to:

Arizona Fighting Armadillos .284 / .331 / .451
Atlanta Shockers .283 / .355 / .456
San Juan Elephant Seals .279 / .345 / .488
Norfolk Needlefish .278 / .350 / .456
Boston Stranglers .275 / .337 / .422

In the N.L., team leaders are:

Montgomery Burns .299 / .359 / .463
Chicago Bulls .278 / .334 / .457
Scranton Boll Weevils .274 / .335 / .398
Hartford Submarines .270 / .330 / .469
Vancouver Mounties .265 / .320 / .414

Obviously, many of these teams (like the Burns) are offensive powerhouses who have the guns to hit whatever pitcher is throwing against them. But others have lineups that sizzle against lefties, but fizzle against righties.

Most notable in this regard are the Armadillos, Shockers, and Mounties. For basis of comparison, the following shows these teams rate stats against lefties, followed by same stats against righties.

Arizona Fighting Armadillos .284 / .331 / .451 -----> .248 / .297 / .386
Atlanta Shockers .283 / .355 / .456 -----> .254 / .320 / .370
Vancouver Mounties .265 / .320 / .414 -----> .242 / .302 / .383

The worst discrepancy in the NL (the Mounties) comes despite Vancouver having three lefty batters in their regular lineup.

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Plumpy Rules!!!!111 All-Time Franchise Standings

I compiled the numbers for each franchise through 15 seasons of Plumpy Rules!!!!111. They are listed below, with teams separated by league and ranked by regular season winning percentage.

Here's a key for the abbreviations used5

W% = Winning Percentage
D = Division Titles
P = Playoff Appearances
L = LCS Appearances
W = World Series Appearances
$ = Championships

AL Teams W L % D P LCS WSA $
Toledo 1444 986 0.594 10 12 6 4 2
St. Louis 1412 1018 0.581 10 10 6 4 3
Atlanta 1294 1136 0.533 5 8 4 2 2
Monterrey 1282 1148 0.528 6 8 1 1 0
Chicago 1280 1150 0.527 1 6 1 0 0
San Juan 1259 1171 0.518 2 5 3 1 0
Arizona 1223 1207 0.503 6 9 2 0 0
Portland 1221 1209 0.502 2 5 1 0 0
Boston 1204 1226 0.495 0 2 0 0 0
Oakland 1202 1228 0.495 7 7 2 1 1
Memphis 1192 1238 0.491 2 2 0 0 0
Norfolk 1182 1248 0.486 4 5 2 1 1
Seattle 1108 1322 0.456 3 4 1 0 0
Las Vegas 1082 1348 0.445 1 4 1 1 1
Burlington 1071 1359 0.441 0 1 0 0 0
Omaha 988 1442 0.407 1 2 0 0 0

NL Teams W
L % D P LCSA WSA $
Montgomery 1511 919 0.622 10 13 7 3 2
San Fran 1405 1225 0.534 9 12 2 0 0
Vancouver 1327 1103 0.546 3 6 1 0 0
Detroit 1299 1131 0.535 5 6 3 2 0
Scranton 1282 1148 0.528 6 9 2 1 1
Pittsburg 1245 1185 0.512 5 8 2 1 0
Jax 1218 1212 0.501 2 5 1 0 0
Baltimore 1212 1218 0.499 7 7 2 1 0
OKC 1209 1221 0.498 2 5 2 1 0
Tampa 1204 1226 0.495 2 5 4 3 1
Chicago 1192 1238 0.491 1 2 0 0 0
Richmond 1150 1280 0.473 1 3 0 0 0
Tacoma 1150 1280 0.473 1 2 2 1 0
Hartford 1018 1412 0.419 0 0 0 0 0
Philly 1005 1375 0.422 5 6 2 2 1
KC 959 1471 0.395 1 1 0 0 0

Playoff Apperences
Division Titles
Montgomery 13
Montgomery 10
San Fran 12
St. Louis 10
Toledo 12
Toledo 10
St. Louis 10
San Fran 9
Arizone 9
Baltimore 7
Scranton 9
Oakland 7
Pittsburg 8
Arizona 6
Atlanta 8
Monterrey 6
Monterrey 8
Scranton 6
Oakland 7


Baltimore 7




League Championships
World Championships
Toledo 4
St. Louis 3
St. Louis 4
Atlanta 2
Montgomery 3
Montgomery 2
Tampa 3
Toledo 2
Atlanta 2
Las Vegas 1
Detroit 2
Norfolk 1
Philadelphia 2
Oakland 1



Philadelphia 1



Scranton 1



Tampa 1



















Friday, July 2, 2010

Corey Hart

Corey Hart
none
none
Age: 21B/T: S/R
Born: Riner, VA
Position(s): 2B
View Hardball Dynasty Profile

He's wearing his sunglasses at night.

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Future Look : Portland Killer Whales

In this series we will take a look at some of the teams in Plumpy and analyze their future. Including projected starting lineup, rotation, bench and what pieces they may need to acquire.

First up in the series will be the Portland Killer Whales.



The Killer Whales biased or non biased may very well have the best minor league system of all teams in Plumpy. stacked with top of th erotation SP, back end SP who can become top guys inside Portlands home park, and great position players. So lets start it off with Portlands future starting lineup.

ETA: Season 18 is when the Killer Whales lineup could come full circle.

Lineup

C - J.B. Scott - Scott projects to have only average contact and power but that came be over came by his superior eye and ability to hit the ball versus both R and L pitchers. He will hit for a high averag ebut mostly singles are in his future. If Scott even sniffs the stats he piled up in S15 on the way to a dominanting MVP season this comp pick will make everyone who skippe dhim cringe.

Current Level AA
ETA : Season 17

1B - Bruce Kohlmeier - Kohlmeier is one of the few players that remained with the organization since Irck has taken over a GM some 7 seasons ago. Kohlmeier is a speed contact hitting 1B who gets rave reviews from GM Irck and thats why he has stuck. He is an all around great player and good thigns are expected.

Current Level : ML

2B - Wascar Nunez - Wascar was the big IFA signing in season 14 by the Killer Whales. Nunez projects to be a good contact hitter with a great eye. Like JB Scott Wascar had a monster year in AA last year and look sto buil don his success. If eh can stay healthy Nunez will be a staple in Portland for years to come.

Current Level : AA
ETA : Season 17

SS - Tomas Calvo - Tomas Calvo was the big IFA signing of season 15. Calvo projects to be a stud defensive SS with speed to swipe 40 SB a year. Versus lefties Calvo will become a great hitter, but the knock on him is the inability to hit righties. It remains to be seen if he can have any success versus them. GM Irck loves Calvo though, and was not deterred by his VS R.

Current Level : High A
ETA : Season 18

3B - TBD The Killer Whales currently do not have their future 3B. GM Irck has stated that he hopes to bring in a college 3B to be the future, or possibly an IFA who is not far off from the majors.

LF - Randy Raines - One of the biggest steals in season 13s draft Randy Raines fell to pick 46 in the comp round where the Killer Whales were estatic about the kid. 3 seasons later Portland couldnt be happier wit the development. Raines projects t have great contact, solid power and solid versus lefties and righties. He is no superstar but he will be a good every day COF. Add some speed and a good eye and Raines will have a great career.

Current Level : AAA
ETA : Season 17

CF - Pete Beckham - Beckham moves from 2B to CF for the Killer Whales where his high contact and speed are being raved about inside the Whales clubhouse. Beckham doesnt have your prototypical CF glove but it hasnt hurt him so far.

Current Level : ML

RF - Trevor Winn - Winn like Beckham has high contact and speed and like beckham will be looked upon to start the offense and score runs. If the Whales dismal offense ever wants to be a factor Winn needs to hit for a high average like he can.

Current Level : ML


DH - Damaso Delgado - Already going into his second seasons Damaso delgado is one of the best hitters in baseball. Last seasons ROTY look sto build on his massive year. If he can play in more games than he has previously he is a perrenial MVP candidate even in the extreme pitching park of Portland.

Current Level : ML

Pitching

SP - Del Moya - 1 of 3 big IFA signings of season 13 by the Killer Whales. Moya projects to be a #1 or #2 depending on Vic Pena. Moya projects to have great control, can pitch versus L and R, high velocity, and keeps the ball out of the air. The only knock is that MOya only has 2 quality pitches, although they are ++ projected it remains to be seen if MLers any mor eluck than the MiLers.

Current Level: AAA
ETA : Season 16 (after 21 games) - Season 17

SP - Vic Pena - The 6th pitcher taken in the S13 draft but arguablly one of the top 3 if not #1 so far. Pena projects to have top not contorl, dominating versus R and great versus L. Pena keeps th eball out of the air and projects to have 3 +++ pitches. Moya and Pena will be fighting for the coveted #1 SP position.

Current Level: AAA
ETA : Season 16 (after 21 games) - Season 17

SP - Lloyd Brock - Brock was the most recent addition to the stockpile and I mean stockpile of Killer Whale pitching prospects. Like MOya and Pena Brock projects to a #1 or #2 SP. He projects to have high control, great splits dominant versus R, throws hard and keeps it out of the air. PLus he has 2 ++ pitches, and 2 potential + pitches.

Current Level: High A
ETA : Season 18

SP - Miguel Maranon - Miguel Maranon has been with the Whales for a few seasons now and has impressed. Maranon is great versus R and is still developing versus L. Maranon throws hard but has trouble forcing GB. He has 1 ++ pitch, 1 + and 1 potential + pitch.

Current Level: ML

SP - Alving Alou - Alving alou in his 2 ML years has had a wild career. His rookie season he only went 9-6 with a 2.83 ERA. Then last seaosn he went 8-18 with a 5.02 ERA including 13 straight losses. Alou is great versus L but only average against R. The way Alou will overcome his Vs R defeciancies is with his 2++ pitches and 3 + pitches, and the ability to keep the ball on the ground.

Current Level: ML

LR - Mike Dobson - The 18th pick in last seasons draft Dobson could probably be a SP on 80% of the teams in Plumpy but not with the Killer Whales. Dobson projects to have excellent control and is good versus lefties and righties. Dobson throws hard, keeps it down and projects to have 1 ++ and 2 + pitches. Dobson could eventually vie for a spot in the rotation but if the current projected 5 stay on course it is doubtful. Dobson is the first of 4 very good LR the Killer Whales look to have.

Current Level: Low A
ETA: Season 18

LR - Norman Boyd - Norman Boyd is currently in the Whales rotation but only until the rest of the guys are ready. Boyd posted 12 wins and a 3.90 ERA last season so its not his fault he wil be pumped its the level of talent around him. Boyd has great control, and great versus lefties. Like Alou he lacks versus righties. BOyd ha s1 ++ pitch and 2 +. a fine LR BOyd will make. If he stays with the team. BOyd is being shopped.

Current Level: ML

LR - Miguel Urbina - The lesser known of the 3 IFA signed during season 3. Urbina projects to have just average control, but good splits, 1 ++ pitch, 2 + pitches, throws hard and of course keeps the ball out of the air.

Current Level: AA
ETA: Season 17

LR - Ricardo Pineiro - The very first draft pick made by GM Irock was Piniero. Piniero did not come close to what he was projected at coming out of the draft. But he has been a great piece so far. Winning Season 14s ROTY. Piniero is a workhorse with grat control, but only average splits. His ability to keep the ball out of the air and havign 1 ++ pitch and 2+ pitches helps him over come his defeciancy. Piniero ha sa career 3.64 ERA in 2 seasons and will remain in th erotation until Pena and Moya get the call.

Current Level: ML

SU - Aurelio Santana - The current ML closer Aurelio Santana has excelletn control, but only slightly above average splits which holds him back form becoming an elite closer. He throws hard but has trouble forcing ground balls. He also features one of the single best pitchesin all of Plumpy his fast ball, and then a + pitch in his slider.

Current Level: ML

SU - Vince Richardson is better control away from beign an elite closer. He has excellent splits, throws hard, keeps it down, and has 1 ++ pitches, and 2 + pitches. Richardson has been a staple in the back end of the Killer Whales pen for the last 5 seasons yet he has not shown the productivity expected due to his wild and erratic pitching.

Current Level: ML

SU - Alfonso Villano - Villano has good control, and good but not great splits. He has a ++ pitch, and a + pitch and like the majority of Whale pitchers great GBFB ratios. Villano is the type of pitcher who could become great in the killer Whales home park.

Current Level : AAA
ETA : Season 17

CL - Joshua James - Joshua James features great control, and good splits. like any good closer he throws hard and keeps it down. He features 1 ++ pitch, and 1 + pitch. It remains to be seen if James can hold onto his CL of the future roll.

Current Level : AAA
ETA : Season 16 - 17


There is alot of young talent in the majors and minors for the Killer Whales and if they can all come together sooner rather than later this team will be a formidable opponent for everyone in Plumpy. This concludes the look into the future of the Portland Killer Whales.

Monday, May 24, 2010

Season 16 - Rumors

Chicago Fatties

Miguel Lopez, coming off a solid offensive year, is available for trade. Lopez is hitting his first arbitration hearing and the Fatties are reportedly looking for any prospects, but are hoping to get offers involving starting pitchers or shortstops.

Aubrey Rupe and his expiring contract are being shopped. Rupe has 149 career saves at age 29, including 43 just last season (out of 46 attempts).


Memphis Problems

Phillip Spiers, entering his second arbitration hearing, has a .301 avg, .368 OBP, and .879 OPS for his ML career…and he’s available.

Josh Mills and Sal Wilkerson are also available. Memphis is looking to get a bit younger as the team is not quite ready to compete this year.


Montgomery Burns

Winners of 10 of 15 division titles, and playoff participants 13 of those 15, Monty is facing stiff competition in the NL South. A good GM recognizes this and when reached for comment says “I am seriously shopping everyone.” Most other GMs want to know, “does that include Todd Ford?” The short answer is “yes, but” as it will have to be a major deal. Monty has some very nice Starters available, a few stud relievers, and some great everyday players. Monty is looking for elite prospects in return.

Bottom line for anyone who has watched the Burns franchise over the “years,” you know management will make all the right moves (even if it isn’t making a move). Although not a fire sale, this is a good opportunity to take a look at the talent Monty has available.


Oklahoma City Cyclones

Moises Bravo is available (ok, so maybe this isn’t new news). He is in his final year of his contract, the OKC management is willing to pay some of his contract off. Possible destinations could be NL teams looking for depth or an AL team looking to take a flier on a one year solution at DH. Bravo has been hoping his opposite field stroke will land him in Boston, but it is unclear whether Boston management is as enamored with him.


Philadelphia Regulators

Another team in transition similar to Montgomery. The Regulators are looking to replace Che Ong in Right Field and are looking for a power bat to play in that spot. They have young starting pitching to offer, but if they can't fill that need look for Geoffrey McNamara and Dan Percival to be available for prospects.


San Juan Elephant Seals

MVP candidate Ivan Rivas is available for the right price. He’s reportedly seeking 7 million in arbitration or a 4y/5.6m contract extension.

LRP Dan Regan (4.0 arb) and setup guy Ed Nunnari (1.3 arb) are available. All-Star Gary Ducey is also available. He is reportedly seeking 4.4 in his second arbitration hearing.

San Juan is also listening to offers for prospects like: OF Santiago Amaral, 1B BC Romero, and SP Julius Flair. In exchange SJU will be looking for a stud CF or a dominant Starting Pitcher (or even two).


Scranton Boll Weevils

The Boll Weevils likely will have a quiet offseason, but they are rumored to be after a strong utility infielder. Word is the Boll Weevils management will place a call or two to Atlanta (likely targets include Lee and Aguilera) to fill this need.


Tacoma Chicken Dance

No one interesting is on the block at the moment, but sources inside the organization insist there may be a major name shopped later.

Tacoma is looking to fill the bench. Management is looking to target players who may be a salary dump or possibly a non-tender.


Tampa Bay Pirates

Word around Tampa is Tony Carrasco is available. Now blessed with a rich farm system, Pirates management may also be willing to part with prospects who below the AAA level in order to make a big splash for the right player. By all indications the ideal target for Tampa Bay is a young shortstop.