Wednesday, December 27, 2023

Wins Above Replacement Since Season 60

 I have been using some of the time that we've had due to the extended rollover to calculate Wins Above Replacement totals since the turn of the "decade" that started in Season 60. Currently I have 111 players in the database of people that I have fully calculated over the past five seasons, mostly from the Awards Ballots that I have been doing in other posts. I am going to post screenshots of my WAR spreadsheet in groups of 30 players below, and if you don't see a player that your are curious about send me a quick Trade Chat or post in the World Chat and I'll add in their data to this series later. Without further ado, here are players 1-30: 

Players 31-60: 
Players 61-90:

Players 91+:

A couple of quick housekeeping notes: 
  • Players whose names are highlighted in gold are in the Hall of Fame
  • The cities listed in the second to last column (last season) with asterisks have them because they are currently open franchises and I don't have access to their data until a new owner takes over
  • My next step is to start looking at Career Wins Above Replacement, and I will start at the top of this list and work down 
  • This is just another reminder that all totals above are both park and position adjusted



Wednesday, August 2, 2023

Season 64 Hall of Fame Voting

 For the first time in a couple of seasons, I am going to be able to put together a Hall of Fame blog segment 😊 Since I wasn't able to (or maybe just forgot to) take a screenshot of the top five vote-getters who were not elected last season, I will start with the top five previous totals overall (listed under the "Hi" total on the extras HOF screen.) Those five are the following: Santiago Rivera, Gorkys Garces, Julius Kaufman, Esmailyn Johnson and Tsuyoshi Lo. 

Since I have positional breakdowns of what constitutes a Hall of Fame player here in Plumpy, the first thing I check on is what position each guy qualifies for in terms of HOF candidacy (aka which position did he play most often during his career.) Rivera and Garces are both CF, Kaufman is a SP, Johnson is a 2B and Lo is a 1B. Here is how they compare to current HOF'ers at their positions: 

Center Field

Slam Dunk HOFer: 99 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer: 79 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case: 59 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case: 39 Estimated WAR

No HOF Case At All: 38 or fewer Estimated WAR

Santiago Rivera: Only four seasons of Park Adjusted data

Gorkys Garces: 19 Park Adjusted WAR in 6 seasons of data = 3.2 avg = No Case (for now)

Second Basemen

Slam Dunk HOFer: 113 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer: 93 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case: 73 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case: 53 Estimated WAR

No HOF Case At All: 52 or fewer Estimated WAR

Esmailyn Johnson: 79 Estimated WAR = Strong HOF Case

Starting Pitchers

Slam Dunk HOFer: 153 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer: 133 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case: 113 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case: 93 Estimated WAR

No HOF Case: 92 or fewer Estimated WAR

Julius Kaufman: 82 Estimated WAR = No Case

First Basemen

Slam Dunk HOFer: 93 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer: 73 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case: 53 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case: 33 Estimated WAR

No HOF Case At All: 32 or fewer Estimated WAR

Tsuyoshi Lo: 34 Park Adjusted WAR in 7 seasons of data = 4.9 avg = Weak HOF case (for now)

Third Basemen

Slam Dunk HOFer: 76 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer: 56 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case: 36 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case: 16 Estimated WAR

No HOF Case At All: 15 or fewer Estimated WAR

Chip Kinsler: No Data Yet

Lewis Hatley: 57 Park Adjusted WAR in 12 seasons of data = 4.7 avg = Strong HOF case (for now)

Right Fielders

Slam Dunk HOFer: 78 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer: 58 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case: 38 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case: 18 Estimated WAR

No HOF Case At All: 17 or fewer Estimated WAR

Odalis Marmol: 45 Estimated WAR = Strong HOF Case

Based on the data that I currently have (seen above), Johnson and Lo are worthy candidates and will get two of my votes. As I write this, people have already started chiming in about their votes and so my next step is to look at the other players that people are considering to see which of them are also worthy candidates. The new names that have been mentioned so far are the following: Chip Kinsler and Odalis Marmol. Kinsler is a 3B and Marmol is an RF. After making a strong HOF case, Marmol will get my third vote and I'll gather more data on those listed above who I don't have enough information on yet. 

Monday, June 19, 2023

Season 63 Awards Voting

 My goal for the past couple of seasons has been to use the "Importance Score" which uses a combination of WAR and bonus points for things like leading the league in certain categories to determine who to vote for. Unfortunately, so far I've only gotten as far as the Wins Above Replacement totals in previous seasons. This year, I've gotten the WAR totals done and have the research done for who has led the league in which categories as well so the chances that I'll be able to combine those this season are much higher. Here's what I've gotten so far...hopefully this helps with your ballot!

AL MVP

  • Walt Smith (C-Salem), 8.44 WAR
  • Orlando Esposito (3B-San Juan), 6.52 WAR
  • Antonio Suzuki (LF-Buffalo), 8.26 WAR
  • David Hill (1B-Salem), 5.62 WAR
  • Marco Moss (1B-Toledo), 4.97 WAR
NL MVP
  • Christopher Prades (2B-Philadelphia), 6.56 WAR
  • Mateo Iglesias (1B-Tampa Bay), 9.50 WAR
  • Abraham Wilson (RF-Tampa Bay), 8.07 WAR
  • Asdrubal Lopez (LF-El Paso), 7.40 WAR
  • Humberto Prieto (CF-Trenton), 7.49 WAR
AL Cy Young
  • Bill Sutton (SP-Buffalo), 4.88 WAR
  • Paolo Cortes (RP-Montreal), 5.93 WAR
  • Braulio Feliz (RP-San Juan), 1.14 WAR
  • Sammy Crespo (SP-Nashville), 2.97 WAR
  • Vitas Coello (SP-Buffalo), 4.83 WAR
NL Cy Young
  • Mariano Pena (SP-Philadelphia), 8.05 WAR
  • D'Angelo Ozuna (SP-Washington DC), 4.53 WAR
  • Matthew Kennedy (SP-Pittsburgh), 4.98 WAR
  • Howie Yarbrough (RP-Trenton), 3.18 WAR
  • Gonzalez Mateo (SP-Philadelphia), 1.93 WAR
AL Rookie of the Year
  • Fritz Powell (3B-Cincinnati), 3.71 WAR
  • Sammy Risley (1B-Syracuse), 2.65 WAR
  • Elrond Millwood (SP-San Juan), 3.23 WAR
  • Buddy Harris (RF-Tacoma), 1.94 WAR
  • Corey Milton (LF-Toledo), 2.75 WAR
NL Rookie of the Year
  • Enrique Henriquez (LF-Tampa Bay), 6.42 WAR
  • Al Hernandez (RF-Scranton), 3.34 WAR
  • Esmerling Cervelli (3B-St. Louis), 4.14 WAR
  • Tyson Lieber (RP-El Paso), -0.12 WAR
  • Alex Bird (SP-Trenton), 4.02 WAR

Friday, March 3, 2023

Season 62 Awards Voting

 I have had time recently to update the "New Park Era" rankings for Wins Above Replacement (which looks at just the seasons we have played since they released new ballparks), so I've made sure to focus on the Awards winners and finalists from that span for that particular post...but that comes later. Right now, the goal is to focus on this season's award finalists to see who deserves to go home with the hardware. Here are how the various ballots stack up:

AL MVP

  • David Hill (1B-Salem), 5.71 WAR
  • Antonio Frandsen (DH-Montreal), 7.30 WAR
  • Felipe Soria (RF-Salem), 6.38 WAR
  • Sidney Dahlstrand (3B-Salem), 5.03 WAR
  • Antonio Suzuki (LF-Buffalo), 6.33 WAR
NL MVP
  • Asdrubal Lopez (LF-El Paso), 8.63 WAR
  • Christopher Prades (2B-Philadelphia), 6.83 WAR
  • Abraham Wilson (RF-Tampa Bay), 7.30 WAR
  • Ender Guerra (1B-Jacksonville), 6.00 WAR
  • Jayson Cornelius (2B-Portland), 7.54 WAR
AL Cy Young
  • Rodney Kelly (SP-Cheyenne), 7.92 WAR
  • Sammy Crespo (SP-Nashville), 2.20 WAR 
  • Eury Querecuto (SP-Salem), 4.43 WAR
  • Paolo Cortes (RP-Montreal), 4.31 WAR
  • Bill Williams (RP-San Juan), 1.64 WAR
NL Cy Young
  • Mariano Pena (SP-Philadelphia), 6.02 WAR
  • Ricky Orosco (SP-Washington), 4.18 WAR
  • Everth Sucre (SP-Philadelphia), 3.46 WAR
  • D'Angelo Ozuna (SP-Washington), 5.29 WAR
  • Edward Coomer (SP-Little Rock), 3.75 WAR
AL Rookie of the Year
  • Chief Sweeney (DH-Helena), 3.89 WAR
  • Phil Lawley (RP-San Juan), 0.38 WAR
  • Orlando Esposito (3B-San Juan), 3.79 WAR
  • Max Cuddyer (1B-Kansas City), 2.00 WAR
  • Edwar Diaz (SP-Buffalo), 2.52 WAR
NL Rookie of the Year 
  • Gus Li (SP-Tampa Bay), 1.03 WAR
  • Derek Nash (LF-St. Louis), 2.42 WAR
  • Pedro Parraz (3B-Trenton), 2.48 WAR
  • Albert Balentin (SP-San Francisco), 1.56 WAR
  • Rusty Reese (1B-Scranton), -2.36 WAR