Season 56 Hall of Fame Voting

by bruinsfan911 10:57 AM 0 comments

As has become customary, I am going to take a look at this year's HOF candidates using a mixture of previous voting results and the Wins Above Replacement metric that I use in other blog posts. In each of the last two seasons we have elected a pair of highly deserving candidates, but there are still a handful on the ballot that merit serious consideration. Just as a reminder, here is a look at how last year's voting turned out: 

As you can see, Guzman and Reames crossed the finish line while a few others came fairly close. The top five vote totals that failed to cross the finish line were the following: Guillermo Gutierrez (14 votes), James Moore (9 votes), Osvaldo Lee (9 votes), Fred Sparks (8 votes) and Maikel Romano (7 votes.) 

Generally speaking, I tend to use the following guidelines when it comes to Wins Above Replacement and HOF voting: 100+ WAR is a shoe-in, 70-99 is definitely deserving and 50-69 deserves serious consideration but I can live with it if they don't get elected. The estimated career totals for WAR listed above were calculated using the positional adjustment formula applied to their career totals in fielding and hitting so they should be pretty accurate...and since nobody is "definitely deserving" I'm going to go through the rest of the list and see if anyone from down the ballot qualifies and go from there. The current results are as follows:

HOF Shoe-Ins: none

Definitely Deserving of HOF: Pablo Corpas (74)

Serious Consideration for HOF: Ubaldo Otanez (67), James Moore (64), Glen Lowell (62), Carlos Valentin (58), Sandy Mieske (57), Guillermo Gutierrez (56), Elian Rojas Jr (50), Al Cabrera (50)

Evaluated and not HOF worthy: Maikel Romano (49), Tripp Uribe (40), Greg Forest (39), Fred Coles (38), Bartolo Ramirez (35), Don Wang (34), Osvaldo Lee (28),  Alexi Franco (27), Ramiro Guerrero (21), Otis Gold (18)

 

Since I have some extra time on my hands this season, I am going to work on getting the exact totals for the leading candidates and I will also add the estimates for anyone I missed when the ballot comes out for real. I will post in the World Chat if/when there are significant updates to report. 

Editor's Note-I have recreated the above chart using the exact totals (which account for both positional and park adjustments) for all of the players who I have finished the math for. Here are the results: 

HOF Shoe-Ins:

Definitely Deserving of HOF:

Serious Consideration for HOF:

Evaluated and not HOF worthy: Guillermo Gutierrez (47.16 WAR)