Season 59 Hall of Fame Voting

by bruinsfan911 10:25 AM 0 comments

 At this point, I now have three seasons worth of League Leaders data saved for reference. However, none of the candidates who are currently on the ballot were playing when I started collecting that data so I am going to continue to use the combination of the previous season's ballot and the WAR-only standards to evaluate the current class on their HOF-worthiness. As a reminder, here are the results from last year's voting:

With Roosevelt and Cruz now in, the top five who missed out last year are Miguel Tapies (2 votes short), Nigel Maybin (3 votes short), Cesar Cairo (8 votes short), Guillermo Gutierrez (9 votes short) and Osvaldo Lee (9 votes short.) During the season last year I took some time to look a little more closely at the Hall of Fame here in Plumpy, and have figured out position-by-position standards rather than the general ones that I have been using for awhile now. Let's take a look at those five guys to see how they stack up compared to their positional peers:

Relief Pitchers

Slam Dunk HOFer = 167 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer = 147 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case = 127 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case = 107 Estimated WAR

Miguel Tapies: 102 Estimated WAR, No HOF Case at all*

Julio Manuel: 55 Estimated WAR, No HOF Case at all

Starting Pitchers

Slam Dunk HOFer = 149 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer = 129 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case = 109 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case = 89 Estimated WAR

Nigel Maybin: 89 Estimated WAR, Weak HOF Case

Geraldo Terrero: 54 Estimated WAR, No HOF Case at all 

David Giavotella: 58 Estimated WAR, No HOF Case at all 

Kordell Rivers: 62 Estimated WAR, No HOF Case at all 

Kordell Turner: 41 Estimated WAR, No HOF Case at all 

Brandon Peters: 147 Estimated WAR, Definite HOFer

Third Basemen

Slam Dunk HOFer = 76 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer = 56 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case = 36 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case = 16 Estimated WAR

Cesar Cairo: 59 Estimated WAR, Definite HOFer

Bartolo Ramirez: 35 Estimated WAR, Weak HOF Case

First Basemen

Slam Dunk HOFer = 93 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer = 73 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case = 53 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case = 33 Estimated WAR

Osvaldo Lee = 28 Estimated WAR, No HOF Case At All

Guillermo Gutierrez = 56 Estimated WAR, Strong HOF Case

Darnell Curtis, 43 Estimated WAR, Weak HOF Case

Donn Oliver, 52 Estimated WAR, Weak HOF Case

Left Field

Slam Dunk HOFer = 91 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer = 71 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case = 51 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case = 31 Estimated WAR

Otis Gold: 18 Career WAR, No HOF Case At All

Victor DeRojas: 28 Career WAR, No HOF Case At All

Center Field

Slam Dunk HOFer = 99 Estimated WAR

Definite HOFer = 79 Estimated WAR

Strong HOF Case = 59 Estimated WAR

Weak HOF Case = 39 Estimated WAR

James Moore: 64 Estimated WAR, Strong HOF Case 

My policy has been to vote for anyone in the "Strong HOF Case" category or better whenever possible. Based on these lists, the following guys would get my vote using those criteria: Guillermo Gutierrez &  Cesar Cairo. However, the only reason that Miguel Tapies has "No HOF case at all" is because the only two relievers in the Hall are 6th and 13th on the All-Time list of Estimated WAR so I'm going to vote for Tapies as well and have two votes left to play with. 

The next two guys on the list from last season are Geraldo Terrero & David Giavotella, both of whom are starting pitchers. Neither of them have a HOF case using the standards above, so I move onto the next two guys on the list: Kordell Rivers (SP) & Darnell Curtis (1B.)  Rivers comes up completely short, while Curtis makes a weak case for election so I am going to move onto the rest of the list and see if there are any better option but the door remains open a crack for Curtis. 

I continue to move down the list of last year's vote totals until I get to James Moore, who makes a Strong HOF case so he gets my fourth vote. Next up will be the math on Victor DeRojas, Kordell Turner and Brandon Peters because they are first time candidates. DeRojas and Turner have "No HOF Case at all" but Peters is just shy of falling into the Slam Dunk category for SP's and has arguably the best case of anyone on the ballot this season so he gets my last vote.